Harmonised Techniques and Representative River Basin Data for Assessment and Use of Uncertainty Information in IWM -Uncertainties in the economic analysis of the European Water Framework -
HarmoniRIB - 2. Uncertainty surrounding future demands of water
Scenario development is an important way of dealing with uncertainty. Scenarios are defined here as autonomous or exogenous environmental, demographic, socio-economic, political-institutional, technological trends and developments. Typically, scenario uncertainty implies that some possible outcomes are foreseen or known, but not their probability of occurrence. (see 4. Uncertainty surrounding future demand and supply of water - p. 23)
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